Wednesday, November 4, 2009
Election Results
To see final numbers check out this link:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/11/03/election-results-virginia-governor/
Reflection
The day after election day is a moment to look back and reflect upon why voters voted the way they did and how the campaigns were run. The reflection allows us to absorb the race and soak up the lessons that need to be learned. Although the election is over, Jody's determination to improve Virginia has only strengthened. Here are a few words from her concession speech:
"Let me say one thing: Our work does not stop here. We face too many challenges, and we simply can't pack up and go home," Wagner said. "We must keep our focus on the next generation, because like every parent here tonight, I want Virginia to be a state that my children and their families will call home."
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Bill Bolling defeats Jody Wagner and is re-elected Lieutenant Governor
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/11/03/AR2009110303937.html?hpid=todays-paper
Exit Polls?
VOTE, VIRGINIA, VOTE!!
Wagner Basics
It may be election day, but Jody Wagner's theme of responsible and effective governing has not changed. She's still the best candidate to deal with Virginia's complicated budget, and to help administer the state. Here's one of her earliest campaign ads, just to remind you that Jody Wagner's commitment to fair and balanced governing.
No Show Campaign Video
Her new campaign video (http://www.jodyforva.com/tv) highlights Lt. Governor Bill Bolling's high number of absences, and does so in a funny manner. A single camera focuses on an empty office chair, and several prominent Republicans "call in" to remonstrate the incumbent for not being there.
The video is brilliant for several reasons.
1) It's simple. Some candidates like to throw as much as possible at the voter in hopes that something will stick. In a full-frontal assault, a poorly-run campaign will try to overwhelm the opponent by pushing as many arguments at once. But this rarely works. The viewer might forget all of the barbs, and without a concise message, the ad will lose its power. In an age of quick-attention spans and lots of entertainment to watch, the good candidate knows that any attack must be short, sweet, and succinct.
2) It's easy to understand. When trying to tar your opponent, it's generally a bad idea to use murky and complicated assaults. Remember the details of Obama's real-estate deal with Tony Rezko, which McCain tried to use against him? Neither does anyone else. The best attacks can be summed up in one or two sentences, and are universal. Not everyone can explain Bolling's record in office. But every Virginian knows what it means to not show up to work.
3) It's funny. Parodying Republicans like Dick Cheney, Mark Sanford, and Bob Mcdonnell, this video manages to draw a laugh. And that's a good thing. So many people switch off their brains when they see boring footage of a candidate talking into a camera. LAME. Using humor, on the other hand, always brings people back for more. And a candidate that can crack a smile is much more likable. The perfect example is Bill Richardson's hilarious presidential campaign commercials from 2008, which showed the governor in awkward job interviews (see http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tjOuL5qwNIc).
The point? Jody Wagner's campaign commercials will attract good coverage, and should spread like wildfire across the internet. Will they move voters to the polls? Only time can tell.
Supporting a Public Option
There has been some talk in Congress about allowing states to "opt out" of any public option, giving governors a tremendous amount of influence when it comes to federal health care policy. In a recent debate, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds was ambiguous about supporting the public option, and even implied that he would ensure that the Old Dominion would not have universal healthcare within its borders.
But in a gutsy move, Jody Wagner will fight for the option. While that may cost her some votes, its nice to see a Virginia candidate sticking with her principles
To see the direct quote, look here: http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/doh/2009/10/jody-wagner-will-fight-any-attempts-to-optout.html
Jody, the Post, and Jobs
What's interesting though, is the phrasing of the endorsement. For instance, they say that, "JODY WAGNER, Virginia's former secretary of finance, is the sort of Democrat that helped cement the Old Dominion's status as among the cleanest, best managed and most business-friendly states in the country.".
Notice the last phrase. By emphasizing the business-friendly atmosphere of Virginia, the Washington Post puts an emphasis on job creation. Clearly, the editors know that the economy is the most important issue in the minds of voters. By quickly addressing it, the newspaper helps to ensure that this election will be about pocketbooks.
Can Jody Win Her Hometown?
Jody Wagner, of course, hails from Virginia Beach. Her name is emblazoned across the famous popcorn business that she and her husband started. And her local popularity should serve her well in holding good margins in the voter-rich Virginia Beach area.
But Jody has one problem. The Republican gubernatorial candidate, Bob McDonnell, also comes from Virginia Beach. And the popular candidate is sure to turn out voters in the region.
The area is kind of a mixed-bag. Plenty of military families and the presence of several evangelical universities always guaranteed votes for the GOP. But newly-arrived residents from the North have dyed the area purple. Virginia Beach, if anything, has always been a tough nut to crack. According to CQ Politics, George W. Bush bested John Kerry there by a whopping 16 points. But in 2008, Democrat Glenn Nye beat Republican Thelma Drake 52-47%, and Obama won the district by 2 points. Nothing is assured.
So both hometown favorites Jody Wagner and Bob McDonnell are bound to turn out voters and make this region a nail-biter. Or maybe Virginia Beach will elect a mixed ticket. Who knows how the tide will flow?
Jody the Problem Solver
This video highlights Jody Wagner's abilities to solve problems. Again, the theme of the campaign-that Bill Bolling is not doing his job-is highlighted in this video. The commercial mentions Bolling's absences at several meetings, a major sticking point from the Wagner campaign.
Jody vs. Big Insurance
This point is interesting, because it comes with a great amount of risk. Healthcare reform, while decently popular, is still controversial in Virginia. And any allusion to the healthcare debate now taking place in Congress could greatly anger both conservatives and right-leaning independent voters, both of whom are important voting blocs in the Old Dominion. It also might start a tit-for-tat with the Bolling Campaign about who whether Wagner supports a public option. So Jody must be careful to motivate progressives against someone in the pocket of the insurance agency while not encouraging conservatives or certain independents to come out and vote againsther.
Is the Washington Post Looking for Independents?
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 28, 2009
Innocent right? The phrasing is deceptively simple, yet designed to attract the crucial independent-voters bloc.
Three reasons why this statement is effective. The first is the rejection of partisanship, an obvious but important issue for independent voters.
The second is the mention of the budget. State office-holders are not like congressmen and senators. Folks that are sent to state capitals are much more elected for basic administrative functions (budgets, taxes, roads), while representatives are more often than not chosen based on partisan appeal and flashy issues (war, healthcare, abortion). Such a mention of "a hand's-on experience with the state's budget" focuses on Wagner's administrative abilities, and not on her party label.
Finally, the allusion to how well Jody would work with any governor is important. The Post does not tie Wagner to the listless Creigh Deeds. It instead promises that she can work across the aisle in a bipartisan manner (a magic word for independents) to deliver effective reform.
This election, like many others in Virginia, will be decided byswing-voters and independents. And if the Wagner campaigntakes a hint from the Washington Post, it will focus itsenergies on having across-the-board support
Election Day: Jody Wagner vs. Bill Bolling
But honestly, what kid has a deeply rooted childhood dream to grow up and be a Lieutenant Governor? None that I know. The fact of the matter is that this position is a stepping stone for bigger and better things. It is a building block for those ambitious enough to run for governor or federal office. So what are incumbent Bill Bolling’s dreams? Oh… wait he’s running for reelection? Why is Bill Bolling running for this position again? I would argue he was pushed aside by the more charismatic and charming Bob McDonnell. But Bill says he just didn’t think he had the time or the money to take away from his business or his family. This could be true. Bill does have a business that is based in Maryland (maybe that explains why he showed up for only 6% of his meetings). Also he is probably very busy at home raising his family… oh wait, except his oldest son is full grown and employed, and his youngest child is a senior in college. It doesn't seem like Bill is that busy. But if he personally said he couldn’t handle the job of Governor, why would we vote him into the office responsible for replacing the Governor in the case of an emergency??
Jody Wagner has no excuses for not taking on more challenging tasks and working hard to repair Virginia’s struggling economy. Jody was a tough corporate lawyer, runs her own small business, and has worked in the administration dealing with complicated fiscal policy. Not only does her expertise in law, business, and finance show she is more than competent, but the way she runs her family is proof as well. Jody managed to raise four kids while also being a working Mom. One of her sons is a Rhodes scholar and another is in medical school. There is no task too tough or too time-consuming for Jody Wagner. She is ambitious and is not going to make up excuses for why she can’t attend meetings or run for higher office. When casting your ballot today, think about who is going to give 110% to this job and vote for Jody Wagner, Lt. Governor.
Monday, November 2, 2009
Jody's Campaign is Poppin'!
Making the Push
Photos and Quotes from Jody!
How much will Jody Wagner be tied to Creigh Deeds tomorrow?
If you follow politics in America, you'd know that the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November is Election day. The most popular elections are when we are electing a President. Less popular elections -called "midterms" - come in between the Presidential elections and are when all the Representatives and 1/3rd of the Senators are elected. And then there are the completely off-year elections like Virginia's gubernatorial election where turnout is ridiculously low.
Crunch Time!
Tomorrow is Election Day in Virginia. I was able to spend a few hours making phone calls to voters in Northern Virginia for the Democratic ticket last week and over the weekend. I was excited to hear enthusiasm from a lot of voters about the Democratic ticket.
The polls will be open tomorrow from 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. It will be really important for Democrats across Virginia to come out and demonstrate support for Creigh Deeds for Governor, Jody Wagner for Lieutenant Governor, Steve Shannon for Attorney General, as well as the Democratic candidate for the House of Delegates.
The campaign has contacted a lot of voters through the past weeks and months. During my hours phone banking, I spoke to a number of people who had already been contacted by the campaign. We know that the result tomorrow is going to be close, and the campaigns has done a good job communicating how important it is for everyone to come out to the polls.
Volunteers have been working hard to get in touch with voters and remind them how important it is to come out to the polls tomorrow. The statewide Democratic candidates held a final rally in Alexandria with Governor Kaine and Senator Warner at 6:00 tonight. It is now crunch time to get voters out across the state to keep Virginia blue in 2009.
Sunday, November 1, 2009
Will Students come out to vote on November 3rd?
Now Jody Wagner has 4 kids, some of whom are voting age and would fall into the age cohort "millenial." Jody clearly exudes a "mom" type vibe. Both of these work to her advantage with young voters. There's supposedly been a big downswing of enthusiasm since last year's election, but I'm not sure that will translate into a downswing of turnout among 18-24 year old voters. Most voters in that range only use a cell phone and, no matter how many pollsters and political scientists I talk to, I'm still not persuaded they're correctly surveying that group. If there's going to be a surprise on election night, I predict it will be in student turnout. If some races get really close, they will be the group that determines the winner.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Experience
Experience, an advertisement from Virginians for Wagner, highlighting the reasons that Jody has what it takes to lead Virginia. This video demonstrates that Jody has the fiscal experience to help Virginia by highlighting Virginia's ranking as the best state for business and the best managed state during her tenure. The ad also appeals to family values, noting that Virginia was also ranked the best state to raise a child. The final message, that Jody cares more about the next generation than the next election, demonstrates that she is running to do the right thing for all Virginians.
A Real Problem Solver with Experience
The tagline of the Post's article is "In Virginia, a problem-solver is better than a pol." Jody's resume demonstrates that she is a problem-solver, and voters in Virginia can be confident that if elected, she will continue to use her skills to solve the problems that face Virginians.
The article notes: "Unlike the usual run of officeholders in Richmond, she is more pragmatist and problem solver than partisan political warrior. As the only one of the six statewide candidates to have had hands-on experience with the state's budget, she would be uniquely well placed to serve as a resource for whichever candidate is elected."
The economy is one of the biggest issues facing voters next Tuesday. The Washington Post's endorsement demonstrates that Jody has the experience to be a valuable asset to the Commonwealth as Lieutenant Governor. As the lone statewide candidate to have real experience with Virginia's budget, Jody clearly stands above her opponent.
The Washington Post endorsement can be found here:
Monday, October 26, 2009
Republicans: Moving Virginia Backwards
But being a realistic student of politics, this is easier said than done... which makes me wonder, what will happen if Republicans sweep the board on November 3rd? What will Virginia look like with Republicans running Virginia. Well, the citizens of Virginia need to prepare themselves for serious movement... and I mean serious movement backwards. McDonnell's thesis has been gone over with a fine-tooth comb and everyone knows he has touted terrible ideas concerning women and gays and their harmful effects on society. But most people will argue that was 20 years ago and McDonnell has "changed". Ok fine. But what about now? McDonnell, Bolling, and Cuccinelli all have taken drastic legislative action to prohibit a woman's right to choose. Are we really prepared as citizens to move backwards nearly four decades? McDonnell sponsored legislation 35 times that prohibits giving women the right to choose... and supports prohibiting women from obtaining an abortion even in the case of rape or incest. Ken Cuccinelli has submitted legislation as well. And Bill Bolling, one of the few times he decided to show up for work, was the deciding vote in the Senate on an amendment to cut funding from Planned Parenthood because the organization provides abortion services. Seriously people? These three straight, white, male, middle to upper-class leaders are supposed to be representing the interests of all Virginians? Frankly, this is a terrifying thought. Electing the Republicans will only be moving Virginia backwards.
Jody Wagner, the only female running in one of the major state races, will represent every person in the Commonwealth of Virginia. Her recent endorsement by Equality Virginia (EV) shows that she will stand for equality for families, workplace protection, and hate crime legislation. EV CEO Jon Blair said, "In every respect, Jody Wagner has demonstrated that she will walk with gay, lesbian, bisexual, transgender Virginians on the path to full equality."
I sincerely hope the Democrats and Republicans who went blue in 2008 will turnout to vote for Jody Wagner on Nov. 3rd and keep Virginia moving forwards... not backwards.
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Supporting a Public Option
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
WWJD... On Spending?
Jody Wagner has no interest in spending Virginia into the ground, despite what her opposition may say. Her goal is to improve the state, and has made job-growth her number one priority. The facts show that Virginia has consistently been ranked a best state to do business, raise a family, and is a best-managed state. Jody's practical experience with monetary policy makes her an asset to Virginia, and citizens of the Commonwealth would be lucky to have her.
Monday, October 19, 2009
Clips from Jody Wagner vs. Bill Bolling Debate
From their first and only debate. Bolling used the phrase "that was a meaningless platitude about nothing" to describe something that Jody Wagner said. Personally, I like my politicians to by more articulate than that. He also accused her of running a "dishonest, deceitful, hypocritical campaign." Real mature.
If I find the whole debate online I will post the link. I bet some of the other bloggers have things to say about what may be the most important event in this Virginia Lieutenant Governor election.
Sunday, October 18, 2009
WHAT is Jody DOING?
- she has ample experience in both the private sector and public administration
- she is a mother of four bright, happy children and cares deeply about education on a personal level
- she is a small business owner who fully understands the needs of the Virginian worker, and is genuinely dedicated to the cause of creating jobs
- as Secretary of Finance she has first hand experience handling the economy that her opponent simply lacks
- she is brilliant and educated and a down-home Virginian who wants to improve her home state for completely altruistic reasons
Saturday, October 17, 2009
Jody Wagner's campaign narrative: Bill Bolling is a no-show
The video features Vietnam veteran and Virginia Delegate Bob Brink. The Lieutenant Governor of Virginia sits on an advisory board important to veterans' issues. Apparently Bill Bolling never showed up to any of the board meetings, essentially meaning that Bill Bolling doesn't care about veterans. This is just another example to reinforce the narrative coming out of the Jody Wagner campaign: Bill Bolling is a lazy no-show who doesn't care enough about his job or Virginia to ever show up. Whatever the Commonwealth is paying Bill Bolling to pretend to be Lieutenant Governor, it is far too much.
If I were working for the Jody Wagner campaign I would be repeating this narrative every chance I got. Messaging works because of repetition and truth. The truth seems to be that Bill Bolling doesn't take his job seriously enough to show up to work. Now the Wagner campaign just needs to loudly keep repeating that truth until election day.
Friday, October 16, 2009
Lieutenant Governor's Debate
The debate will be held on Monday, October 19 at 7:00 pm at Olin Hall in Roanoke College in Salem, and will be sponsored by the Young Lawyers Division of the Virginia Bar Association.
The full article can be seen here:
The Importance of Voting
Over the past several elections, Virginians have chosen Democrats to move the Commonwealth forward. Allowing the Republicans to win on November 3rd would move Virginia backwards.
Virginians have had the opportunity to read Bob McDonnell's thesis over the past several weeks and see the views that he holds about women and families. The Washington Times, in an article published today, notes that Republican Attorney General candidate Ken Cuccinelli has "...described himself as perhaps the most conservative State Senator from Northern Virginia in his lifetime."
The leadership of Bob McDonnell, Bill Bolling, and Ken Cuccinelli would erase the progress that has been made in Virginia. It is important that Democrats across the state realize the importance of the election on November 3rd and come out to the polls in support of Creigh Deeds, Jody Wagner, and Steve Shannon.
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
WWJD ... on taxes?
Now we need to have an honest discussion about taxes. “Taxes” is a dirty word in politics… in most states, especially a traditionally red state, taxes = political suicide. But people tend to forget that governments cannot function without revenue. The school bus that takes your kids to school cannot run without revenue. The crossing guards at the local elementary school cannot help your kids cross the street without revenue. Stoplights, education, construction projects, and hundreds of buildings, roads, and programs cannot exist without revenue. And where does revenue come from? Oh right… TAXES! The state of Virginia is not invincible to the global recession. Everyone is hurting right now. Unemployment is touching every corner of the country, and Bill Bolling’s ads claiming Jody is responsible for job losses are ridiculous and wasteful rhetoric. So when the state is crying for better roads and improved transportation, no one thinks the money to pay for them is going to appear out of thin air. And McDonnell’s ideas about drilling offshore for oil to improve roads are laughable. What we need is to have an open and honest discussion about finding diverse ways to raise revenue, even if that does mean some tax increases.
Excluding tax raises from the discussion is politically expedient and dangerous to future generations. Bill Bolling and Bob McDonnell plan to avoid making the tough decisions and say whatever is necessary to get elected, all the while kicking the bucket further down the road for other officials to deal with later. The fact is that Jody and Governor Kaine have made hard and painful cuts, and in doing so managed to balance the state budget WITHOUT raising taxes. But the current taxes in place aren’t paying for what they need to. The gasoline tax (one of the lowest in the country) is not raising the revenue needed to make drastic changes in transportation. People are driving more fuel-efficient cars and the funding just isn’t there. At a Fairfax Democratic Club meeting a citizen stated, "I drive the roads, and I don't like sitting in long lines, so I don't mind paying more, because I'm using it…Why can't we add 10 cents more? Would that do it?" In response Wagner said "It is not the ultimate panacea we would like to think it is. So, ultimately, that is not the ultimate solution. It may be a bridge. But, ultimately, we're going to have to be more diverse in the way we handle it…” Clearly Jody is interested in having a discussion about realistic ways to improve Virginia’s roads (not drilling for oil). In my opinion, when you have an open and honest discussion about taxes and really think about what they are used for, maybe some increases don’t sound so bad.
Wednesday, October 7, 2009
Jody vs. Bill on the Environment
Young people tend to care more about environmental issues than older folks. As a young voter I think its necessary to look into the respective positions of Jody Wagner and Bill Bolling when it comes to the environment. Both of the candidates have sections related to the environment and energy on their websites:
Jodi Wagner: http://www.jodyforva.com/files/wagner_energy_environment.pdf
Bill Bolling: http://www.billbolling.com/issues/environment
http://www.billbolling.com/issues/energy
Now it’s hard to tell if Bill Bolling actually denies the science of climate change, but its resoundingly clear from his platform that he doesn’t think it’s a problem. He wants to drill for oil off of Virginia’s shores – a plan that isn’t going to make the price of gas go down, will ruin the ocean views in some of Virginia’s most popular tourist locales, and put beaches at the risk of devastating oil spills. Bolling also believes in the magic unicorn of global warming solutions: clean coal. He mentions clean coal on his energy page as if it were a viable technology. He fails to mention if he is talking about coal that doesn’t make as much smog or coal that doesn’t emit greenhouse gases (there's a huuuuuuge difference).
His belief in the drill-baby-drill fantasy and the mythology of clean coal doesn’t suggest he understands other environmental issues very well. On the other hand, Jody Wagner has a detailed plan for creating green jobs in the renewable energy and efficiency sectors. In fact, conservation groups in
The Virginia League of Conservation Voters has endorsed Jodi Wagner over Bill Bolling: http://www.valcv.org/majority/endorsement_list.html#statewide
The Virginia Chapter of the Sierra Club also endorsed Jodi Wagner:
Jody's New Ad
The ad's focus on Jody's economic achievements highlights her strengths that can really help Virginia. The entire country is feeling the effects of the recession, and Virginia is no exception. Jody's record demonstrates that she has strong economic credentials. As Lieutenant Governor, her experience will be a strong asset to people across the state.
During Jody's tenure, Virginia was ranked Best Managed State, Best State to Raise a Child, and Best State for Business four years in a row. This demonstrates that Jody really does have what it takes to be an effective leader and to find solutions for the people of Virginia.
By putting this ad on television, people across the state will have a chance to learn about Jody's record of leadership and will be able to see that she is the kind of leader that Virginia needs in these tough economic times. Jody will bring her strong background and experience to the office of Lieutenant Governor and will help create jobs and find solutions to the difficult problems that face Virginians.
Monday, October 5, 2009
Voter Registration Deadline TODAY Oct. 5th
Registration applications must be postmarked by October 5 or hand delivered to the local or state registrar's office by close of business. Registration applications can also be filled out at any local DMV.
The deadline to apply for an absentee ballot is October 27 if you want a ballot mailed to your home.
Friday, October 2, 2009
No Show Campaign Video
Thursday, October 1, 2009
WWJD... for Women?
Every other TV commercial I see these days is a battle between Deeds and McDonnell over who represents women better. Perhaps both of these candidates have ideas about how they are the right choice for female voters, but slinging mud instead of having real discussions, could begin to alienate women.
You may wonder why is everyone courting female voters? In addition to the McDonnell thesis drama, in Virginia, women make up 54% of registered voters. That is quite a lot, and that number continues to grow. According to the Washington Post on September 30, "Since the 1980's, as women have entered the workplace in increasing numbers and taken on greater financial responsibility for their families, they have made up an increasing proportion of the electorate."
Instead of spending an enormous amount of money on TV ads to tell everyone how she is the right choice for women, Jody is leading by example. Jody has raised four children, runs a small business, has been a leader in her community, served as State Treasurer, and was the first female Secretary of Finance. Her dedication to promoting job growth, building a greener economy, and improving education shows that she is ready and willing to tackle the big issues that impact all Virginians.
Jody is paving the way for women across Virginia not through empty words, but by actively working to make the Commonwealth a better place for every person male OR female.